Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 23% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 148 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 30 Jun 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 16.5% on 4 Feb 2026. $52.47K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 30 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 23.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chandaria | Yes | 1.47K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-hit-jun-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 904.61 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 644.02 |
| RPhil2012 | Yes | 600.89 |
| BornAgain26 | Yes | 499.98 |
| justwinit | Yes | 423.78 |
| juvezz | Yes | 258.2 |
| Fickle-Prince | Yes | 206.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
