Analytics
Emerald Sphinx 1159 is down $1.29K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.420 | $356.96 | +$206.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 22:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
24 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 01:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 01:27 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 22:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.48K and losing ones cost $4.9K across the latest 50 settled positions. 38% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $474 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $401 on “Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?” (Yes).
It has traded 730 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.05K across 24 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 120.48 |
| $0.830 |
| $113.86 |
| +$13.86 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 110.56 | $0.900 | $107.85 | +$8.35 |
 Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? | Yes | 1K | $0.320 | $95 | -$225 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | 795.13 | $0.283 | $71.56 | -$153.44 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | Yes | 100 | $0.450 | $41.5 | -$3.5 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? | Yes | 40.32 | $0.620 | $25.4 | +$0.4 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? | Yes | 42.37 | $0.590 | $24.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26? | Yes | 34.72 | $0.720 | $24.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 29.76 | $0.840 | $23.96 | -$1.04 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | Yes | 48.08 | $0.520 | $23.8 | -$1.2 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Yes | 131.58 | $0.380 | $19.74 | -$30.26 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 207.28 | $0.360 | $19.69 | -$54.93 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 100 | $0.330 | $18.3 | -$14.7 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 488.79 | $0.092 | $17.11 | -$28.15 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.480 | $16.41 | +$1.41 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 24.59 | $0.610 | $15.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $13.46 | +$3.46 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.140 | $9.64 | -$0.36 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 39.73 | $0.150 | $5.36 | -$0.6 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 200 | $0.125 | $2.9 | -$22.1 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.210 | $2.32 | -$12.68 |
 Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026? | Yes | 148.86 | $0.034 | $0.82 | -$4.18 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 30.9 | $0.809 | $0.02 | -$24.98 |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
