Latest trade
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:31 AM UTC.
Analytics
WillowCascade has made $73 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 7:31 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 46 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Mar 17, 2025 UTC to Oct 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? | No | 21.74 | $0.460 | $17.17 | +$7.17 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | 21d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 07:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 07:31 UTC
polymarket positions
36 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $166.25 and losing ones cost $22.38 across 34 settled positions. 73.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $88.21 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.83 on “Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Oct 2026. It has traded 51 markets. Its open positions are worth $27.7 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10.81 |
| $0.740 |
| $10.43 |
| +$2.43 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 4.89 | $0.143 | $0.1 | -$0.6 |
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No| sell |
| 30.04 |
| $0.168 |
| $5.05 |
| 21d ago |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 34.93 | $0.143 | $5 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 16.81 | $0.297 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 11.48 | $0.610 | $7 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.184 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.640 | $7 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.992 | $15.5 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.960 | $15 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.35 | $0.977 | $15 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No | sell | 15.9 | $0.999 | $15.88 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No | buy | 15.9 | $0.910 | $14.47 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.23 | $0.985 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?No | buy | 43.67 | $0.229 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 XRP Up or Down on January 14?Down | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down on January 14?Down | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 14?Down | buy | 89.77 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?Down | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.390 | $11.82 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's trap video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 11.82 | $0.846 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.115 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | sell | 17.13 | $0.796 | $13.64 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 41.24 | $0.970 | $40 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No | buy | 26.1 | $0.958 | $25 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 28?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.900 | $12.72 | Aug 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin close above $105K on July 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.900 | $12.5 | Jul 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.820 | $10.38 | Jul 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.849 | $12.31 | Jul 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?No | buy | 13.61 | $0.990 | $13.47 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 933.33 | $0.003 | $2.8 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 596.67 | $0.003 | $1.79 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 392.5 | $0.004 | $1.57 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?Yes | buy | 883.33 | $0.003 | $2.65 | May 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.001 | $1.3 | Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
 Pacers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 1.47K | $0.001 | $1.47 | Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.001 | $2.3 | Mar 17, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.