Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.42K | $0.012 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 180.68 |
| $0.077 |
| $13.82 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes | buy | 180.69 | $0.443 | $80 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 207.22 | $0.386 | $80 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.572 | $81.71 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 393.11 | $0.891 | $350.32 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.489 | $0.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 0.44 | $0.210 | $0.09 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.320 | $0.11 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.290 | $0.12 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 0.38 | $0.480 | $0.18 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.520 | $0.23 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 427.15 | $0.510 | $218 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 393.12 | $0.458 | $180 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.780 | $0.78 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.314 | $0.16 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.314 | $0.31 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.480 | $0.24 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.480 | $0.48 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.510 | $1.02 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.480 | $0.96 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.260 | $0.13 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.270 | $0.27 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.270 | $0.81 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.390 | $0.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.382 | $3.82 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 0.85 | $0.210 | $0.18 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.205 | $0.21 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.205 | $1.03 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.211 | $0.21 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.180 | $0.36 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.684 | $0.68 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.684 | $3.42 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.684 | $6.84 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.684 | $34.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.684 | $34.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.684 | $34.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |