Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 287 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 26 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72.5% on 20 Aug 2025 and the lowest 23.5% on 11 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 34% on 8 Sep 2025. $174.68K traded over the market's life.
167 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 42.5% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 26.0% |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| biser | Yes | 524.55 |
| Speedy-Automation | Yes | 498 |
| Kozachenko | Yes | 440.61 |
| Amber Horizon BABD | Yes | 435.81 |
| Rapid Tide A0F0 | Yes | 341.8 |
| JoeBlack01 | Yes | 313.54 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 300.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
