
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63.5%. Yes opened at 35% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 293 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 24 Jul 2025 and the lowest 24% on 24 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 24% on 24 Nov 2025. $542.89K traded over the market's life.
244 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 293 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 35.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 36.5% |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Matsnufkin | Yes | 672.2 |
| Wolf771 | Yes | 660.4 |
| Nahu3l | Yes | 323.53 |
| machkovsky | Yes | 278.13 |
| DonYalla | Yes | 260.46 |
| SYNOSE | Yes | 258.4 |
| fazmok | Yes | 254.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.