Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.581 | $36.31 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 66.66 |
| $0.140 |
| $9.33 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.184 | $14.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.565 | $2.61 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.953 | $9.92 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.840 | $18.48 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 OKX IPO in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.880 | $18.48 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 30 | $0.932 | $27.96 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 53.76 | $0.906 | $48.71 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 52.68 | $0.947 | $49.89 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.520 | $59.85 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No | sell | 71 | $0.826 | $58.66 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 121.27 | $0.870 | $105.5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.910 | $20.02 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No | sell | 25.56 | $0.928 | $23.72 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.910 | $3.79 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.960 | $8.52 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52.69 | $0.949 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.713 | $3.57 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 19 | $0.795 | $15.11 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.799 | $79.9 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.860 | $13.76 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.797 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.150 | $15 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.876 | $5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 84.34 | $0.830 | $70 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.015 | $0.22 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by December 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.884 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?No | buy | 51.81 | $0.984 | $51 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 100.7 | $0.993 | $100 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 11?No | buy | 50 | $0.979 | $48.95 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Dec 11, 2025 |