Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 31.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 4% on 28 Nov 2025. $5.87K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 31.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 599.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 324 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 299 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 277 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hwang Kyo-ahn spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between November 3 and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hwang Kyo-ahn spends time in custody in a jail or prison. Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hwang-kyo-ahn-in-jail-by-november-30
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 147 |
| SimpleSteeve | Yes | 116.82 |
| Handy-Lycra | Yes | 105.28 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 100 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 70 |
| aroxrp | Yes | 50.06 |
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