Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 163.11 |
| $0.061 |
| $10 |
| Feb 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 49.39 | $0.607 | $30 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 750.96 | $0.027 | $20 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.019 | $20 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?Yes | buy | 86.49 | $0.578 | $50 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 164.01 | $0.122 | $20 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 151.51 | $0.967 | $146.51 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 31.35 | $0.022 | $0.69 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 132.35 | $0.136 | $18 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 458.84 | $0.218 | $100 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 168.91 | $0.094 | $15.88 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 34.61 | $0.432 | $14.95 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.267 | $14.95 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 168.91 | $0.120 | $20.26 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 50 | $0.405 | $20.26 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 426.04 | $0.280 | $119.29 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 36.63 | $0.273 | $10 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 36.63 | $0.273 | $10 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.050 | $7.14 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 27.1 | $0.369 | $10 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.120 | $6.67 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.475 | $10 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 55.86 | $0.089 | $4.97 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 231.91 | $0.018 | $4.17 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 306.75 | $0.326 | $100 | Nov 24, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.87 | $0.179 | $10 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.115 | $11.53 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.046 | $4.6 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 230.98 | $0.043 | $10 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.028 | $13.89 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.480 | $19.2 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.070 | $7.07 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.420 | $40 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?Yes | sell | 64.51 | $0.280 | $18.06 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.900 | $23.08 | Nov 12, 2024 |