Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 21.5% on 4 Feb 2025 and the low 0.4% on 23 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 14% on 6 Apr 2025. $84.3K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 4 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 21.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| istr13 | Yes | 1.43K |
| EyesWideOpen911 | Yes | 1.03K |
| Mooly | Yes | 583.33 |
On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a sovereign wealth fund (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/03/trump-sovereign-wealth-fund-tiktok). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration acquires any Bitcoin (including through an ETF) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The fund must actually acquire Bitcoin or a Bitcoin position in order to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Announcements of the intention to acquire Bitcoin will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trumps-sovereign-wealth-fund-acquires-bitcoin-before-july
| Yes |
| 568.43 |
| bttos | Yes | 496.62 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 483 |
| Foosmanchu | Yes | 250 |
| NassTalRam | Yes | 214.29 |
| Olipal | Yes | 198.89 |
| BuenosAaron | Yes | 142.86 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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