Latest trade
Mar 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:27 AM UTC.
Analytics
tragedyflow is down $25.77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:27 AM UTC.
$4.97 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Jan 15, 2026 UTC to Mar 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 217.17 | $0.046 | $9.99 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-22 10:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 02:27 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-22 10:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $21.59 and losing ones cost $33.83 across 21 settled positions. 42.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.61 on “UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)” (Strickland); the largest loss, $10 on “UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)” (Hooker).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Mar 2026. It has traded 21 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 36.21 |
| $0.058 |
| $2.1 |
| Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Rob Font | sell | 19 | $0.240 | $4.56 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Rob Font | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)Strickland | sell | 13.55 | $0.999 | $13.54 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)Strickland | buy | 13.55 | $0.290 | $3.93 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.76 | $0.012 | $0.08 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.470 | $3.85 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.241 | $1.63 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski | buy | 6.62 | $0.630 | $4.17 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Lopes | sell | 11.9 | $0.350 | $4.17 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Lopes | buy | 11.9 | $0.410 | $4.88 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski | sell | 8.28 | $0.590 | $4.89 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski | buy | 8.28 | $0.600 | $4.97 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski | sell | 8.43 | $0.590 | $4.97 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski | buy | 8.43 | $0.600 | $5.06 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Hooker | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.12 | $0.996 | $15.06 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.13 | $0.850 | $12.86 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje | buy | 12.85 | $0.740 | $9.51 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.790 | $9.51 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.780 | $9.39 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.921 | $4.18 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.730 | $3.32 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.480 | $2.5 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 23.61 | $0.160 | $3.78 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | sell | 266.66 | $0.008 | $2.05 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 23.62 | $0.210 | $4.96 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.015 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.48 | $0.780 | $8.95 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.780 | $8.96 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.976 | $2.9 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | sell | 6.15 | $0.987 | $6.07 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.940 | $2.8 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.16 | $0.670 | $4.8 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.680 | $4.87 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 32.05 | $0.152 | $4.87 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 32.06 | $0.170 | $5.45 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.990 | $5.44 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 5.51 | $0.993 | $5.47 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 160.83 | $0.034 | $5.47 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.920 | $5.66 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.340 | $5.66 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 160.83 | $0.036 | $5.79 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.110 | $5.79 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.64 | $0.055 | $2.84 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.