Analytics
Resolved Volkanovski on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Volkanovski at 41.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 58.5% on 13 Jan 2026 and the low 51.5% on 11 Jan 2026. $4.85M traded over the market's life.
522 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 11 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Donghui | Lopes | 200K |
| knoxgold | Lopes | 100K |
| raffyman | Lopes | 53.49K |
| thepunterwhopunts | Lopes | 49.16K |
| BoggsFromShawshank | Lopes | 43.32K |
| jerser1 | Lopes | 38K |
| Harmful-Wood | Lopes | 30K |
| eNakeVets | Lopes | 30K |
| triplemergexr | Lopes | 21.76K |
| Sweet-Ash | Lopes | 18.6K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Diego Lopes at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Lopes" if Diego Lopes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale14-die4-2026-01-31
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