Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 84K | $0.500 | $63.8K | +$21.8K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?No | sell | 16 | $0.945 | $15.12 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 84K |
| $0.500 |
| $20.2K |
| -$21.8K |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.885 | $2.72K | +$60 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 2.89K | $0.891 | $2.61K | +$41.08 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5K | $0.454 | $2.38K | +$105 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 2.36K | $0.935 | $2.3K | +$98.78 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.78K | $0.906 | $1.76K | +$153.05 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.830 | $1.52K | +$44.4 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.379 | $1.33K | +$341.39 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 700.34 | $0.919 | $654.82 | +$10.89 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 200 | $0.390 | $175 | +$97 |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | No | 144 | $0.816 | $128.88 | +$11.41 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 3.55K | $0.871 | $122.65 | -$2.97K |
 Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28? | No | 101.6 | $0.903 | $90.93 | -$0.81 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $82.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $64.5 | -$25.5 |
 Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 62.41 | $0.955 | $60.63 | +$1.03 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | No | 57.88 | $0.968 | $52.44 | -$3.59 |
 Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? | No | 58.51 | $0.910 | $50.96 | -$2.28 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | Yes | 51 | $0.880 | $36.98 | -$7.91 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? | No | 25 | $0.939 | $23.28 | -$0.2 |
 Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? | No | 170.18 | $0.117 | $18.72 | -$1.12 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 748.22 | $0.055 | $18.33 | -$22.81 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.860 | $15.8 | -$156.2 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 555 | $0.030 | $12.77 | -$3.89 |
| sell |
| 18.44 |
| $0.640 |
| $11.8 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | sell | 9.86 | $0.999 | $9.85 | 5d ago |
 Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?No | sell | 41.22 | $0.042 | $1.73 | 5d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?No | sell | 50 | $0.032 | $1.6 | 5d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.017 | $0.94 | 5d ago |
 Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.001 | $0.18 | 5d ago |
 Will Nebojša Vukanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes | sell | 66.35 | $0.005 | $0.33 | 5d ago |
 Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 12.36 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
 Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.020 | $0.07 | 5d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.100 | $0.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.009 | $0.09 | 5d ago |
 Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 57.14 | $0.930 | $53.14 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 69.5 | $0.011 | $0.76 | 11d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.027 | $1.35 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.025 | $0.5 | 18d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 18d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.960 | $1.44K | 19d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-24 House seat?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.005 | $0.32 | 23d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.980 | $1.32K | 25d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.006 | $15 | 29d ago |
 Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 133.99 | $0.032 | $4.34 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?No | sell | 60 | $0.033 | $1.96 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 198.71 | $0.940 | $186.79 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.060 | $1.26 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Yes | sell | 694.25 | $0.001 | $0.69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31?No | buy | 286.16 | $0.986 | $282.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by July 31?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.990 | $1.28K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?No | buy | 295.88 | $0.990 | $292.92 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by July 31?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.982 | $1.34K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?No | buy | 959.91 | $0.990 | $949.91 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10.5B by July 31?No | buy | 240 | $0.999 | $239.66 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s remarks not air?Yes | sell | 10.72 | $0.028 | $0.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | sell | 645.97 | $0.998 | $644.68 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | sell | 749.27 | $0.999 | $748.52 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?No | sell | 272 | $0.024 | $6.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.060 | $150 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 36.9 | $0.012 | $0.45 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 59.24 | $0.900 | $53.32 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.23 | $0.060 | $6.13 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.014 | $15.72 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.57 | $0.020 | $0.39 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | sell | 1.56K | $0.006 | $9.33 | Jul 23, 2026 |