Latest trade
Apr 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 4:14 AM UTC.
Analytics
arne-voluptates is down $5.38 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 4:14 AM UTC.
$1.1 median trade
Its latest 156 trades covered 49 markets; 55.1% were buys. They run from Nov 23, 2024 UTC to Apr 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.310 | $0.97 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 02:55 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 04:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
156 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 04:14 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-08 23:51 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $4.4 and losing ones cost $6.41 across 46 settled positions. 41.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.03 on “Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.83 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 22 Nov 2024 and most recently on 25 Apr 2026, 173 days ago. It has traded 49 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.14 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.260 | $1.06 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.67 | $0.300 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.300 | $1.1 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.250 | $0.95 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.290 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.24 | $0.270 | $0.87 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.340 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.230 | $0.97 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.260 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.54 | $0.590 | $2.09 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.310 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.400 | $1.13 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.350 | $0.99 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.430 | $1.03 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.43 | $0.300 | $1.03 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.2 | $0.520 | $1.14 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.360 | $0.71 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.400 | $0.86 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.270 | $0.76 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.510 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.370 | $0.99 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.410 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.380 | $1.07 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.830 | $1.23 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.740 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.440 | $1.07 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.440 | $1.05 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.270 | $0.96 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.310 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.