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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.6 | $0.954 | $0.59 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.190 | $11.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 85 |
| $0.190 |
| $16.15 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 79 | $0.660 | $52.14 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.973 | $7.78 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 59 | $0.977 | $57.64 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.977 | $57.64 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.045 | $2.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.042 | $7.39 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.901 | $14.42 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.857 | $49.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 62 | $0.760 | $47.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 72 | $0.760 | $54.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.114 | $0.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.160 | $9.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 70 | $0.710 | $49.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 70 | $0.710 | $49.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.120 | $17.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.150 | $22.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.090 | $7.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.189 | $0.57 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.800 | $2.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.910 | $11.83 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.927 | $43.57 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.040 | $2.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.037 | $2.15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.162 | $14.58 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.165 | $21.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.026 | $3.67 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.029 | $4.15 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.888 | $61.27 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.780 | $67.08 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.091 | $12.19 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.670 | $61.64 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.015 | $0.02 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.047 | $5.31 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.045 | $6.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.280 | $28.84 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.040 | $4.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.041 | $5.82 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 16 | $0.959 | $15.34 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 47 | $0.957 | $44.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.014 | $2.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 172 | $0.015 | $2.58 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 61 | $0.967 | $58.99 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Nov 26, 2025 |