Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 7.07 | $0.920 | $6.8 | +$0.3 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 12.69 | $0.998 | $12.66 | Apr 27, 2026 |
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Only31Armtaken is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #88,166 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$909.09 observed lifetime PnL, 28 distinct markets, 23 resolved positions, a 95.7% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xd81d84d177a34ec7637b2d3d1e80db545e13c5f9
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 4.87 |
| $0.945 |
| $4.8 |
| +$0.2 |
| buy |
| 12.66 |
| $0.999 |
| $12.65 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 4.87 | $0.945 | $4.6 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $180 in February?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.996 | $2.4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.920 | $6.5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.5 | $0.999 | $20.48 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.999 | $15.6 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by December 31?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.979 | $3.1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Megaquake by October 31?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.960 | $3.8 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Megaquake by September 30?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.910 | $2.4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Pakistan strike on India before August?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.994 | $1.7 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.920 | $1.7 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Megaquake in June?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.992 | $2.4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | May 3, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.997 | $1.8 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Senators vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs | buy | 278 | $0.640 | $177.92 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Senators vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs | buy | 455.77 | $0.640 | $291.69 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Senators vs. Maple LeafsMaple Leafs | buy | 1.54K | $0.640 | $983.03 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 3.84 | $0.860 | $3.3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.998 | $2.6 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.993 | $3.3 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 4.58 | $0.982 | $4.5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.987 | $3.5 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.997 | $3.6 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 72.27K | $0.004 | $289.09 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.991 | $5.3 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.