Latest trade
May 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 12:02 AM UTC.
Analytics
aefq is down $4.22 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 12:02 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 125 trades covered 114 markets; 97.6% were buys. They run from May 29, 2024 UTC to May 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $0.91 | -$1.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 21:09 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-15 00:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
125 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-15 00:02 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-04 09:23 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $9.26 and losing ones cost $0.16 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.82 on “Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.16 on “Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” (Yes).
It first traded on 28 May 2024 and most recently on 4 May 2026, 163 days ago. It has traded 114 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.96 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.69 |
| $0.590 |
| $0.82 |
| -$0.18 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.39 | $0.722 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.993 |
| $1 |
| May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.767 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.520 | $0.96 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Justin Bieber feature Usher during his Coachella performances?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Justin Bieber feature The Weeknd during his Coachella performances?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.722 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?Up | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.925 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Hornets vs. NuggetsHornets | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.340 | $1.84 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Texans vs. SteelersTexans | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Chargers vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| 49ers vs. EaglesEagles | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.