Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 66% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 1 May 2026 and the low 42.5% on 30 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 64.5% on 3 Apr 2026. $886.15K traded over the market's life.
200 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 66.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tomsir | No | 140K |
| maruero | No | 4.84K |
| hexing520 | No | 3.63K |
| Dependent-Convention | No | 3.25K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
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