Latest trade
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:40 PM UTC.
Analytics
Honest-Quiver is down $29.55 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 27 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 2:40 PM UTC.
$4.04 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Oct 27, 2024 UTC to Jan 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12AM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-20 17:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 14:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 14:40 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-20 17:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.46 and losing ones cost $54.25 across 27 settled positions. 33.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.97 on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $18.5 on “Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Jan 2026. It has traded 32 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.680 |
| $4.08 |
| Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ETDown | sell | 7.35 | $0.999 | $7.34 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ETUp | sell | 6.04 | $0.999 | $6.03 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ETUp | buy | 6.05 | $0.430 | $2.6 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ETDown | sell | 9.92 | $0.999 | $9.91 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ETDown | buy | 9.92 | $0.504 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 25.6 | $0.950 | $24.32 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ETDown | buy | 12.9 | $0.050 | $0.65 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ETUp | sell | 7.32 | $0.400 | $2.93 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ETUp | buy | 7.32 | $0.273 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 53.57 | $0.310 | $16.61 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?No | buy | 16 | $0.140 | $2.24 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 25.61 | $0.820 | $21 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.280 | $15 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 23.22 | $0.090 | $2.09 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 127 | $0.100 | $12.7 | Nov 14, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.594 | $6.5 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.035 | $1.5 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?Yes | sell | 76.51 | $0.024 | $1.8 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?No | sell | 22.96 | $0.450 | $10.33 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Florida | sell | 10.86 | $0.420 | $4.56 | Oct 30, 2024 UTC |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.035 | $1.21 | Oct 30, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump get more votes than 2020?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.300 | $4.69 | Oct 30, 2024 UTC |
 Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.210 | $2.5 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.046 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Florida | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Nevada rally on Oct 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "tax" 20 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?No | buy | 22.96 | $0.261 | $6 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.058 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump get more votes than 2020?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?Yes | buy | 76.51 | $0.024 | $1.8 | Oct 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during New York rally on October 27?No | buy | 21.7 | $0.200 | $4.34 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" during Georgia rally on October 28?No | sell | 86.83 | $0.050 | $4.34 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during Georgia rally on October 28?No | buy | 86.83 | $0.060 | $5.21 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.651 | $5.21 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
 Bitcoin up on Nov 6?Yes | buy | 29.56 | $0.540 | $15.96 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?Yes | buy | 64.58 | $0.240 | $15.5 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 40.56 | $0.647 | $26.24 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.