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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.52 | $0.047 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.380 | $41.04 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 108 |
| $0.440 |
| $47.52 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.047 | $1.74 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.046 | $1.38 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 55.52 | $0.041 | $2.28 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 45 | $0.954 | $42.93 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 31 | $0.949 | $29.42 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.550 | $28.6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.490 | $11.27 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 96 | $0.510 | $48.96 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.820 | $38.54 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.560 | $38.08 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 51.46 | $0.430 | $22.13 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.420 | $48.72 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.964 | $44.34 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.853 | $45.21 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.041 | $0.21 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.016 | $1.63 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.015 | $1.99 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 51 | $0.884 | $45.08 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.891 | $49.01 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.520 | $49.4 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.490 | $46.55 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 72 | $0.520 | $37.44 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.686 | $37.73 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.967 | $24.18 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.007 | $0.02 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.996 | $6.97 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.968 | $24.2 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.982 | $24.55 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 25 | $0.977 | $24.43 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 25 | $0.984 | $24.6 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 25 | $0.953 | $23.83 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 25 | $0.974 | $24.35 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 25 | $0.974 | $24.35 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.008 | $0.21 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.977 | $6.84 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.966 | $6.76 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.959 | $6.71 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.008 | $0.16 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.008 | $0.52 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 26 | $0.992 | $25.79 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.009 | $0.57 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.980 | $30.38 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.978 | $30.32 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.010 | $0.33 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.010 | $0.06 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.012 | $0.8 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.030 | $0.99 | Sep 15, 2025 |