Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 48.43 | $0.299 | $14.48 | Mar 10, 2026 |
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tpb.bubbles is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,714,516 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$156.04 observed lifetime PnL, 14 distinct markets, 7 resolved positions, a 57.1% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xd191362b7a41ef4566b92c70592e703b70c585df
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 74.58 |
| $0.190 |
| $14.17 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 228.32 | $0.380 | $86.76 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 46.38 | $0.390 | $18.09 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 968.33 | $0.060 | $58.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.71K | $0.034 | $58.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.027 | $39.87 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.57K | $0.026 | $40.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.074 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 57.64 | $0.440 | $25.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 125 | $0.290 | $36.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 200.88 | $0.998 | $200.48 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 200.89 | $0.090 | $18.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 243.17 | $0.060 | $14.59 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 245 | $0.120 | $29.4 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 159.23 | $0.130 | $20.7 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | sell | 60.77 | $0.824 | $50.1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 60.78 | $0.140 | $8.53 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | sell | 65.61 | $0.130 | $8.53 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 65.61 | $0.310 | $20.34 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 28.26 | $0.720 | $20.35 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 28.26 | $0.732 | $20.69 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Qatar today?No | sell | 80.13 | $0.295 | $23.66 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Qatar today?No | buy | 80.13 | $0.380 | $30.45 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 42.3 | $0.720 | $30.46 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 42.31 | $0.420 | $17.77 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 60.68 | $0.385 | $23.36 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.