Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone say "China" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.050 | $0.63 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.76 |
| $0.370 |
| $4.35 |
| Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "China" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.310 | $2.28 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will it take Jerry over 60 hours to hit a hole in one?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 6?Yes | buy | 10.77 | $0.464 | $5 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?Yes | buy | 72.06 | $0.050 | $3.6 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.680 | $3.53 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?Yes | buy | 7.27 | $0.200 | $1.45 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?Yes | buy | 6.64 | $0.230 | $1.53 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?Yes | sell | 8.42 | $0.180 | $1.52 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.190 | $0.99 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Yes | buy | 11.32 | $0.190 | $2.15 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.810 | $0.98 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 4.14 | $0.830 | $3.44 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.720 | $1.04 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Matthew Whitaker be Trump's Attorney General?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.840 | $1.1 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.420 | $1.27 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.780 | $1.34 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.640 | $2.46 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | sell | 7.59 | $0.400 | $3.04 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.640 | $10.32 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?Yes | buy | 8.43 | $0.280 | $2.36 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.230 | $2.37 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.260 | $2.68 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.263 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?No | sell | 19.57 | $0.913 | $17.86 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?No | buy | 15.88 | $0.240 | $3.81 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.550 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 |