Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 78.5% on 15 Nov 2024 and the low 0.1% on 19 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 76 points down, to 0.2% on 17 Nov 2024. $95.43K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 4:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 13 Nov 2024 – 19 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2024 | 72.5% |
| 19 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Any-Banner | Yes | 738.35 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 135 |
| xkgao | Yes | 69.31 |
| Treydawg | Yes | 58.44 |
| Epicurious | Yes | 56.76 |
| DIOGOOOOOOOO | Yes | 55.55 |
| Stinky2504 | Yes | 27.78 |
| wood112056 | Yes | 9.72 |
| lisaram | Yes | 9.72 |
| Ivory Sphinx 07F6 | Yes | 9.21 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
If any SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between November 11, 2024, and November 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-launch-by-nov-18
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