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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.54 | $0.952 | $0.53 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.925 | $35.15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 39 |
| $0.140 |
| $5.46 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.836 | $30.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.838 | $30.17 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.176 | $27.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.640 | $30.08 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.981 | $35.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.720 | $38.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 7.21 | $0.936 | $6.75 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.933 | $35.45 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 37 | $0.952 | $35.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 41 | $0.957 | $39.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 41 | $0.957 | $39.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 41 | $0.956 | $39.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.720 | $35.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.022 | $1.78 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.024 | $1.94 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 38 | $0.953 | $36.21 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.790 | $5.53 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.560 | $8.96 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.560 | $25.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 6 | $0.956 | $5.74 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 6 | $0.955 | $5.73 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.985 | $1.47 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.979 | $1.46 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.979 | $1.8 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.979 | $1.31 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.958 | $1.4 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.983 | $1.33 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 26 | $0.989 | $25.71 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.005 | $0.63 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.010 | $1.25 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged before April?No | sell | 28 | $0.984 | $27.55 | Mar 29, 2025 |
March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?No | sell | 28 | $0.980 | $27.44 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will 'Alto Knights' gross less than 5-7m on opening weekend?No | buy | 27 | $0.983 | $26.54 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will “Adolescence: Limited Series” be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 154 | $0.007 | $1.08 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will a #1 seed lose in the first round of NCAA Tournament?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.019 | $0.91 | Mar 21, 2025 |
Will a #1 seed lose in the first round of NCAA Tournament?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.054 | $1.3 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?No | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will a #1 seed lose in the first round of NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.035 | $6.09 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.223 | $2.45 | Mar 16, 2025 |
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.214 | $11.13 | Mar 16, 2025 |
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.175 | $14 | Mar 16, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on March 16?No | sell | 21 | $0.994 | $20.87 | Mar 16, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on March 16?No | buy | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Lehigh vs. ArmyLehigh | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Mar 1, 2025 |