Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 45.5% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 17.5% on 14 Dec 2024. $280.3K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 45.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| charizardlizard | Yes | 87.99K |
| goinhardgoinbig | Yes | 55.98K |
| enci | Yes | 1.43K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the McDonald's worker who gives a tip leading to the arrest of Luigi Mangione receives any amount of official reward money by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mcdonalds-worker-get-reward-money-for-reporting-luigi
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 999.99 |
| skitzor | Yes | 63.41 |
| Jupinho | Yes | 12.5 |
| Kattuz | Yes | 12.2 |
| dragon541241 | Yes | 10 |
| EricGT | Yes | 8.33 |
| SBx | Yes | 6.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
