Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 40.5% on 13 Mar 2025 and the low 2.7% on 17 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 22.5% on 14 Mar 2025. $62.19K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 8:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 11 Mar 2025 – 17 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2025 | 23.5% |
| 17 Mar 2025 | 2.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.74K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 1.08K |
| Crimson Lynx 866B | Yes | 1.01K |
| Indigo Lynx F511 | Yes | 300 |
| Noobtradee | Yes | 140 |
| oopsiepoopsie | No | 0.05 |
| blyagha | No | 0.03 |
| ShuRuGa | No | 0.02 |
| kuplinow | No | 0.02 |
| ujaKanga | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to how much “Novocaine” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Novocaine-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 14 - March 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by March 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/novocaine-opening-weekend-box-office
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