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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.260 | $15.86 | May 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 61 |
| $0.250 |
| $15.25 |
| May 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.340 | $7.14 | May 25, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.540 | $16.74 | May 24, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 28 | $0.982 | $27.5 | May 24, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.914 | $1.83 | May 23, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.916 | $30.23 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.032 | $0.03 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 8 | $0.991 | $7.93 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 8 | $0.991 | $7.93 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 81 | $0.993 | $80.43 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 75 | $0.975 | $73.13 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 53.59 | $0.033 | $1.77 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.035 | $1.93 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No | sell | 19 | $0.922 | $17.52 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No | buy | 19 | $0.926 | $17.59 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| sell | 78 | $0.951 | $74.18 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.977 | $7.82 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 8 | $0.989 | $7.91 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?No | sell | 83 | $0.964 | $80.01 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 8 | $0.993 | $7.94 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.059 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.058 | $0.99 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.965 | $7.72 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 8 | $0.930 | $7.44 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 8 | $0.932 | $7.46 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.969 | $7.75 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 8 | $0.991 | $7.93 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 8 | $0.991 | $7.93 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 8 | $0.986 | $7.89 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 8 | $0.988 | $7.9 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 8 | $0.978 | $7.82 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.042 | $0.29 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.042 | $1.13 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 8 | $0.983 | $7.86 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 8 | $0.963 | $7.7 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.989 | $7.91 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.987 | $7.9 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?No | sell | 8 | $0.983 | $7.86 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.975 | $7.8 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 21 | $0.364 | $7.64 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 21 | $0.444 | $9.32 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 9 | $0.992 | $8.93 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.985 | $8.87 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.979 | $8.81 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 9 | $0.987 | $8.88 | Jul 23, 2025 |