Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 24 Jun 2025 and the low 0.1% on 13 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 0.9% on 1 Jul 2025. $13.35M traded over the market's life.
547 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 290 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 15 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 20.5% |
| 15 Apr 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.71M |
| DrPufferfish | Yes | 793.39K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 396.08K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-champion
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| DickTurbin | Yes | 318.08K |
| pd.unique | Yes | 144.67K |
| leegunner | Yes | 95.66K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 78.49K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 68.07K |
| BigFishSushiChief | Yes | 64.38K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 51.65K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
