Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?No | buy | 229.03 | $0.873 | $200 | Mar 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 145 |
| $0.565 |
| $81.91 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 300 | $0.380 | $114 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | sell | 6.95K | $0.781 | $5.43K | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 21.03K | $0.225 | $4.74K | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 6.95K | $0.767 | $5.33K | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 333.34 | $0.050 | $16.67 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 9.44K | $0.274 | $2.58K | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 2.44K | $0.290 | $706.15 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 5.85K | $0.300 | $1.75K | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 25.35K | $0.320 | $8.1K | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | sell | 263.15 | $0.284 | $74.67 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 476.19 | $0.410 | $195.24 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.420 | $200 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.34 | $0.150 | $50 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.300 | $327.14 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | sell | 7.85K | $0.971 | $7.62K | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 1.65K | $0.930 | $1.54K | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 10.55K | $0.352 | $3.72K | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 8.9K | $0.336 | $2.99K | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.321 | $900 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.820 | $1K | Jan 24, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.820 | $1K | Jan 24, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 3.56K | $0.840 | $2.99K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.687 | $1K | Jan 23, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.846 | $998.67 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 110.18 | $0.830 | $91.45 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 361.45 | $0.830 | $300 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 137.95 | $0.072 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 95.28 | $0.105 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 13.3 | $0.640 | $8.51 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.169 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.189 | $1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 23.69 | $0.422 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump inauguration be the most viewed ever?Yes | buy | 12.58 | $0.159 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Solana above $215 on January 24?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 41.1 | $0.730 | $30 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?No | buy | 11.3 | $0.177 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?No | buy | 12.62 | $0.159 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 30-34 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 54.19 | $0.037 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |