Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 17-24?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 24, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$281.8K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 24, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 24 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 18 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2025 to 24 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 18 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Jan 2025. $281.8K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 7:43 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 18 Jan 2025 – 24 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Jan 2025	10.5%
24 Jan 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	172.07K
Siziriv	Yes	763.97
p887	Yes	500
Whololong	Yes	62.5

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk