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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 28.17 | $0.710 | $19.3 | -$0.7 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 46.51 |
| $0.430 |
| $18.37 |
| -$1.63 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.49 | +$0.45 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.39 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 95.24 |
| $0.210 |
| $20 |
| 9d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.416 | $20 | 11d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | 11d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.930 | $5.65 | 14d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.979 | $5.94 | 14d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.980 | $19.96 | 14d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?No | buy | 9.53 | $0.800 | $7.62 | 18d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | 18d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 21?Up | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | 19d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | 21d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | 21d ago |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | 22d ago |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | 25d ago |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | 26d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 29.85 | $0.981 | $29.29 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?Up | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 26.76 | $0.747 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.792 | $5.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.610 | $2.17 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |