Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 229.17 | $0.240 | $33.23 | -$21.77 |
US military draft authorized in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.540 | $6.13 | 6d ago |
![]() |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.054 |
| $1.26 |
| -$0.9 |
| sell |
| 4.65 |
| $0.702 |
| $3.26 |
| 6d ago |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 6d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.730 | $7.6 | 6d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 120 | $0.996 | $119.52 | 20d ago |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?Yes | sell | 11.45 | $0.150 | $1.72 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 7.47 | $0.910 | $6.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.110 | $40 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 229.17 | $0.240 | $55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.006 | $0.51 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.053 | $4.76 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.054 | $2.16 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?Yes | buy | 11.45 | $0.220 | $2.52 | Jul 29, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.500 | $9.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 42.96 | $0.933 | $40.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.710 | $0.09 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.390 | $27.3 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 140 | $0.510 | $71.4 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 140 | $0.520 | $72.8 | May 12, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $160 in May?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.006 | $1.02 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $120 in May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $100 in May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $110 in May?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | May 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 98.03 | $0.500 | $49.02 | May 9, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 7.47 | $0.669 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.769 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 9.92 | $0.830 | $8.23 | Mar 12, 2026 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 2.36 | $0.816 | $1.93 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 4.17 | $0.500 | $2.09 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.460 | $1.92 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 9.92 | $0.890 | $8.83 | Jan 5, 2026 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.834 | $1.97 | Jan 5, 2026 |
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 2.87 | $0.680 | $1.95 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.410 | $1.92 | Jan 5, 2026 |