Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 112.94 | $0.987 | $111.47 | 16d ago |
|
| buy |
| 111.47 |
| $0.985 |
| $109.8 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.73 | $0.960 | $102.46 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 93.24 | $0.986 | $91.93 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 95.87 | $0.959 | $91.94 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 95.87 | $0.964 | $92.42 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 92.42 | $0.930 | $85.95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 85.87 | $0.919 | $78.92 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 79.79 | $0.990 | $78.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 79.79 | $0.988 | $78.83 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 78.84 | $0.964 | $76 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.917 | $69.69 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 69.69 | $0.999 | $69.62 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 66.21 | $0.995 | $65.88 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No | buy | 65.88 | $0.998 | $65.75 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 27.43 | $0.984 | $26.99 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 30.43 | $0.887 | $26.99 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.907 | $27.6 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 63.44 | $0.996 | $63.19 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 68.42 | $0.905 | $61.92 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 54.72 | $0.832 | $45.53 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.790 | $51.35 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.730 | $51.1 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | buy | 97.09 | $0.993 | $96.41 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 97.09 | $0.973 | $94.47 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 97.09 | $0.987 | $95.83 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 48.36 | $0.940 | $45.46 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 165.73 | $0.930 | $154.13 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 55.12 | $0.950 | $52.36 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.950 | $50.35 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 105.59 | $0.965 | $101.89 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 104 | $0.962 | $100.05 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Maine be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump get 66-68m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.001 | $0 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump get 66-68m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.982 | $112.93 | Dec 6, 2024 |