Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.53 | $0.043 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.140 | $5.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 39 |
| $0.960 |
| $37.44 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.600 | $46.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.250 | $11.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.986 | $20.71 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.188 | $8.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.174 | $23.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.941 | $39.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.934 | $43.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.842 | $43.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.960 | $44.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.960 | $44.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.103 | $7.42 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.930 | $44.64 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.550 | $44.55 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.550 | $44.55 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.580 | $13.34 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.960 | $46.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.039 | $0.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.043 | $1.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.191 | $0.96 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.187 | $2.06 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 3 | $0.807 | $2.42 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 4 | $0.995 | $3.98 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | sell | 17 | $0.957 | $16.27 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | buy | 17 | $0.963 | $16.37 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.967 | $6.77 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?No | sell | 11 | $0.990 | $10.89 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.970 | $6.79 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?No | sell | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 17 | $0.918 | $15.61 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.918 | $18.36 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.952 | $19.04 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.956 | $19.12 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Charles Leclerc finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 19 | $0.994 | $18.89 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | sell | 19 | $0.993 | $18.87 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | buy | 19 | $0.992 | $18.85 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?No | buy | 19 | $0.992 | $18.85 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.058 | $1.45 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 19 | $0.988 | $18.76 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?No | sell | 23 | $0.995 | $22.89 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?No | buy | 23 | $0.987 | $22.7 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 21 | $0.977 | $20.52 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.986 | $1.54 | Jun 8, 2025 |