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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 191.9 | $0.500 | $100.75 | +$4.8 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.285 | $3 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.53 |
| $0.285 |
| $4.72 |
| +$1.72 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 3.4 | $0.883 | $3.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.58 | $0.787 | $3.13 | +$0.32 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.36 | +$0.36 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.66 | $0.505 | $2.32 | +$0.48 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 2.55 | $0.739 | $2.31 | +$0.42 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 2.12 | $0.864 | $2 | +$0.18 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.1 | +$0.09 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 10.98 | $0.447 | $0.99 | -$3.92 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 0.91 | $0.900 | $0.88 | +$0.06 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.66 | $0.800 | $0.64 | +$0.11 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 0.63 | $0.760 | $0.58 | +$0.1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.17 | $0.854 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 0.94 | $0.490 | $0.12 | -$0.34 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.67 | $0.135 | $0.11 | -$0.25 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40 | $0.025 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.025 |
| $1 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.83 | $0.400 | $2.73 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.165 | $1.03 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.600 | $0.7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.460 | $0.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.854 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.494 | $0.59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.380 | $0.11 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.440 | $0.04 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.480 | $0.12 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.670 | $0.11 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.350 | $0.36 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.830 | $0.35 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.580 | $0.12 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.690 | $0.07 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.910 | $0.09 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.460 | $0.09 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Norway join the Board of Peace?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.977 | $1.03 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.660 | $0.13 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 6.78 | $0.999 | $6.77 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.737 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 3 | $0.620 | $1.86 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.210 | $0.51 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.260 | $0.65 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.440 | $0.22 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.120 | $0.24 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.39 | $0.150 | $0.51 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.490 | $0.15 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.820 | $0.84 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.820 | $0.16 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.590 | $0.06 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.810 | $0.16 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.880 | $0.18 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.880 | $0.09 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.560 | $0.11 | Jan 28, 2026 |