Analytics
Yes is at 28.2%, up 1.7 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 3 Apr 2026.
Across the 191 daily closes on record from 3 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.3% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1% on 22 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.1%; a month before, 8.6%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 44.6% on 25 Apr 2026.
Estudiantes LP ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Copa Libertadores: Winner”. Palmeiras leads at 64.5%.
$1.66K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $708.23, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $274.74 bought Yes and $159.38 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Mild-Attendance with 447 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 613. Ten wallets hold 87.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 12 Dec 2026, 45 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 191 points, 3 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | 26.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 28.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 612.56 |
| Mild-Attendance | Yes | 447.14 |
| Ironclad-Paddock | Yes | 257.73 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-copa-libertadores-winner
| pengu1n | No | 213.82 |
| Equatorial-Brush | Yes | 120.45 |
| forrestgumper | No | 117.41 |
| marksman | No | 94.17 |
| twentys2 | Yes | 85.29 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 50.99 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 50.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
