Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, down 8.5 points from 47% when the market opened on 7 Apr 2026.
Across the 187 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 38%; a month before, 24.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 75.5% on 2 Jun 2026.
Palmeiras ranks second of the 4 outcomes in “Brazil Série A: Winner”. Flamengo leads at 61%; Cruzeiro is at 0.6%.
$9.26 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.74K since listing. The order book holds $2.01K, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 287 trades, $2.5K bought Yes and $1.48K bought No; the largest was a $1K buy of Yes at 49.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Unpleasant-Supermarket with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Dec 2026, 49 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 47.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.66K |
| Unpleasant-Supermarket | Yes | 2K |
| Filthy-Hospitalisation | No | 1.79K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Brazil Série A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Brazil Série A per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-brazil-srie-a-winner
| nrbnrb | Yes | 1.32K |
| Sardonic-Mimosa | Yes | 415.61 |
| Musk5 | Yes | 299.63 |
| Hyperlong | No | 274.84 |
| JoGold | No | 217 |
| Nicolasro91 | Yes | 183.34 |
| penguinec | No | 175.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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