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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 800 | $0.637 | $398 | -$111.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 65 |
| $0.415 |
| $32.66 |
| +$5.66 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.520 | $18.7 | +$8.3 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 40 | $0.510 | $11 | -$9.4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.580 | $5.82 | +$0.02 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.310 | $5.45 | +$2.35 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.457 | $5.15 | +$0.58 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.921 | $4.85 | +$0.24 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.520 | $4.73 | +$2.13 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.540 | $4.45 | +$1.75 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 5 | $0.762 | $4.07 | +$0.26 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.540 | $3.93 | +$1.23 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 15 | $0.186 | $3.64 | +$0.85 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.660 | $3.5 | +$0.2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.590 | $3.43 | +$0.48 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.355 | $2.96 | -$4.15 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.597 | $2.63 | -$6.33 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.600 | $2.43 | -$0.58 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.510 | $2.33 | -$0.23 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.320 | $2.08 | +$0.48 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.297 | $1.9 | -$4.05 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.510 | $1.65 | -$0.9 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.610 | $1.55 | -$4.55 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.280 | $1.1 | -$1.7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.380 | $1.03 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.457 |
| $4.57 |
| 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.762 | $3.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.449 | $2.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.327 | $1.64 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.031 | $1.02 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Under | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? | buy | 10.7 | $0.187 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. SpursKnicks | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | May 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.470 | $2.35 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.359 | $3.59 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 800 | $0.637 | $509.6 | May 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | May 15, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.921 | $4.61 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | May 6, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.324 | $25.95 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.550 | $22 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Feb 11, 2026 |