Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.45 |
| $0.690 |
| $1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Google's Wiz acquisition blocked before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 CHIPS Act repealed before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |