Latest trade
Jul 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:56 AM UTC.
Analytics
415421 is down $112.98 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:56 AM UTC.
$1.12 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 28.0% were buys. They run from Jun 23, 2026 UTC to Jul 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.173 | $0.01 | -$1.73 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-04 18:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 02:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 02:56 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-04 18:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $71.32 and losing ones cost $33.78 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12 on “Islanders vs. Flyers” (Islanders); the largest loss, $4.18 on “Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 2 Jul 2026. It has traded 167 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.01 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes| sell |
| 4.57 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.74 |
| Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes | sell | 6.62 | $0.180 | $1.19 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.560 | $5.28 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 29.72 | $0.067 | $1.99 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.993 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.990 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.974 | $1.02 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.997 | $1.07 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.993 | $1.32 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.987 | $1.96 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.992 | $2.97 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.920 | $2.76 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.992 | $3.67 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.614 | $3.06 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?No | sell | 6.31 | $0.998 | $6.3 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 7.93 | $0.992 | $7.87 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 8.16 | $0.850 | $6.94 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.690 | $5.55 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 9.98 | $0.560 | $5.59 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | sell | 14.11 | $0.575 | $8.12 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.780 | $0.94 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.988 | $1.03 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.910 | $1.48 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 24?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.818 | $8.18 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 114.69 | $0.003 | $0.37 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.710 | $1.1 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.710 | $2.45 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.