Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:11 AM UTC.
Nilgam is down $90.81 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:11 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 23 trades covered 17 markets; 87.0% were buys. They run from Sep 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 254.79 | $0.381 | $93.12 | -$3.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 254.79 | $0.381 | $97 | 1d ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 04:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 06:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
23 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 06:11 UTC
polymarket positions
4 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-19 04:13 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest loss was $1.44 on “2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 17 markets. Its open positions are worth $209.44 across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 69.11 |
| $0.434 |
| $31.96 |
| +$1.96 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.060 | $22.5 | -$7.5 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.600 | $22.5 | +$2.5 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.14 | $0.280 | $18.75 | -$11.25 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $7.92 | -$2.08 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 263.16 | $0.038 | $6.97 | -$3.03 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.007 | $3.57 | -$6.43 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.007 | $2.14 | -$7.86 |
| buy |
| 41.41 |
| $0.483 |
| $20 |
| 5d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 24.39 | $0.370 | $9.02 | 5d ago |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 19.49 | $0.460 | $8.97 | 5d ago |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 897.3 | $0.011 | $10 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.76K | $0.003 | $10 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.95K | $0.002 | $10 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | sell | 172.41 | $0.080 | $13.82 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No | buy | 740.74 | $0.027 | $20 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?No | buy | 118.75 | $0.160 | $19 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 19.49 | $0.513 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 27.7 | $0.361 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.038 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.058 | $10 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.