Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 2.35 | $0.920 | $2.29 | +$0.13 |
 Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 300.4 | $0.998 | $299.8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.22 |
| $0.820 |
| $0.38 |
| -$0.62 |
| sell |
| 231.38 |
| $0.996 |
| $230.45 |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 230.69 | $0.997 | $230 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 230 | $0.996 | $229.08 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 230.69 | $0.997 | $230 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 300.4 | $0.999 | $300 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 311.24 | $0.998 | $310.62 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 156.56 | $0.990 | $154.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 156.57 | $0.990 | $155 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 310.62 | $0.998 | $310 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 310 | $0.997 | $309.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 310.62 | $0.998 | $310 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be less than $600M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | sell | 2 | $0.880 | $1.76 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out first?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Boise State win the 2025 Mountain West Conference Championship Game?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.810 | $1.62 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 French Open: Djokovic vs. MoutetDjokovic | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Netherlands election called before May?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Frankfurt beat Ferencvaros?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Frankfurt beat Ferencvaros?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.630 | $2.52 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Frankfurt beat Ferencvaros?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will another team win the Bundesliga?No | sell | 741.49 | $0.993 | $736.3 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will another team win the Bundesliga?No | buy | 739.6 | $0.995 | $736 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will another team win the Bundesliga?No | sell | 742 | $0.992 | $736.06 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will another team win the Bundesliga?No | buy | 743.9 | $0.995 | $740 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.910 | $5.87 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | sell | 7.22 | $0.840 | $6.06 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | buy | 7.23 | $0.830 | $6 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 2.49 | $0.750 | $1.87 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 2 | $0.860 | $1.72 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Gretchen Whitmer Democratic Presidential Nominee?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 235.52 | $0.540 | $127.18 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 235.53 | $0.590 | $138.96 | Jul 27, 2024 |