Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 17% on 8 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 179 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 10 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 23.5% on 10 Jul 2025. $16.58K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 179 points, 8 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Unhappy-Vampire | Yes | 412 |
| kalytics | Yes | 250 |
| Zerovalue-837 | Yes | 111.11 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shaun Maguire ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with Sequoia Capital for any length of time between July 7, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with Sequoia Capital. An official announcement of Shaun Maguire’s departure from Sequoia Capital (e.g., a statement from Sequoia or Maguire indicating he will no longer be engaged with Sequoia) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/shaun-maguire-out-at-sequoia-in-2025
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 101 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 69.02 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 60 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 48.8 |
| Shipoo | Yes | 46.32 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 40.89 |
| Rlso | Yes | 40.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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