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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.84 | $0.953 | $0.82 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.939 | $10.33 | Jun 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 49 |
| $0.938 |
| $45.96 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 57 | $0.730 | $41.61 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.027 | $4.19 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.033 | $5.81 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.034 | $0.82 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.260 | $9.36 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.030 | $4.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.028 | $3.81 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 52 | $0.170 | $8.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.170 | $11.39 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.938 | $47.84 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.938 | $47.84 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 101 | $0.250 | $25.25 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.210 | $21.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.620 | $44.02 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.978 | $40.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 12 | $0.710 | $8.52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.700 | $35.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.710 | $44.73 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.680 | $44.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.055 | $0.61 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.053 | $3.71 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.811 | $39.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 88 | $0.500 | $44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 88 | $0.500 | $44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.986 | $44.37 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.986 | $44.37 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 43 | $0.953 | $40.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.972 | $40.82 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.973 | $21.41 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 54 | $0.974 | $52.6 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.031 | $1.33 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.136 | $0.14 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.908 | $13.62 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.587 | $2.93 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.569 | $10.81 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.039 | $0.35 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.982 | $14.73 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.963 | $14.45 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.153 | $5.81 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.143 | $1.72 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 15 | $0.977 | $14.66 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?No | sell | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 15 | $0.963 | $14.45 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 14 | $0.990 | $13.86 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.981 | $14.72 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.979 | $14.69 | Aug 8, 2025 |