Latest trade
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:31 AM UTC.
Analytics
ArslanS78029061 has made $11.23 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 35 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 12:31 AM UTC.
$10.13 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 36.0% were buys. They run from Jun 2, 2026 UTC to Jun 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-01 06:55 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 00:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 00:31 UTC
polymarket positions
36 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-01 06:55 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $42.02 and losing ones cost $30.79 across 35 settled positions. 42.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $22.58 on “Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $22 on “Duquesne vs. La Salle” (La Salle).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Jun 2026. It has traded 33 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 61 |
| $0.290 |
| $17.69 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.290 | $17.69 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.910 | $5.46 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.910 | $52.78 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.920 | $47.84 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.78 | $0.910 | $11.63 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 9 | $0.959 | $8.63 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 23 | $0.959 | $22.06 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 32 | $0.954 | $30.53 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.034 | $1.12 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.034 | $2.48 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.034 | $0.44 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.034 | $1.12 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.032 | $4.86 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.560 | $44.8 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.937 | $3.75 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.937 | $19.68 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.937 | $23.43 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 177 | $0.320 | $56.64 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.310 | $54.87 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.140 | $5.74 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.140 | $8.12 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.140 | $13.86 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 71 | $0.800 | $56.8 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.810 | $57.51 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.040 | $2.48 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.040 | $0.92 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.040 | $0.96 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.057 | $8.49 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 79 | $0.690 | $54.51 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 29 | $0.690 | $20.01 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.690 | $31.05 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.987 | $22.7 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.987 | $13.82 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.987 | $36.52 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 18 | $0.983 | $17.69 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.983 | $17.69 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.012 | $0.14 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.012 | $0.44 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.012 | $0.22 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.012 | $0.22 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.012 | $0.5 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.012 | $0.23 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.013 | $1.9 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 78 | $0.510 | $39.78 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.