Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.441 | $0.11 | -$0.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 111 | $0.965 | $107.12 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 111 |
| $0.963 |
| $106.89 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 123 | $0.908 | $111.68 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.310 | $49.91 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.220 | $24.86 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 126 | $0.889 | $112.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 114 | $0.985 | $112.29 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 122 | $0.810 | $98.82 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 139 | $0.810 | $112.59 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 114 | $0.884 | $100.78 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.530 | $32.86 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.530 | $32.86 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 119 | $0.955 | $113.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 147 | $0.773 | $113.63 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 147 | $0.766 | $112.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1 | $0.670 | $0.67 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 31 | $0.680 | $21.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 103 | $0.989 | $101.87 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | sell | 115 | $0.978 | $112.47 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 115 | $0.979 | $112.59 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 119 | $0.970 | $115.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 68 | $0.953 | $64.8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.969 | $6.02 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 119 | $0.969 | $115.31 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.450 | $71.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 117 | $0.983 | $115.01 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 117 | $0.982 | $114.89 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 121 | $0.950 | $114.95 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 121 | $0.950 | $114.95 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 81 | $0.818 | $66.26 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 152 | $0.760 | $115.53 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 152 | $0.701 | $106.55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.974 | $27.27 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 109 | $0.973 | $106.06 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 99 | $0.976 | $96.62 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 202 | $0.480 | $96.96 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 202 | $0.470 | $94.94 | May 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.500 | $67 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.450 | $7.65 | May 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 124.46 | $0.440 | $54.76 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 81 | $0.982 | $79.54 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 211 | $0.420 | $88.62 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 257 | $0.420 | $107.94 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 101 | $0.964 | $97.36 | May 24, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.960 | $13.44 | May 23, 2026 |