Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.390 | $0.95 | Apr 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.44 |
| $0.410 |
| $1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.440 | $0.84 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.420 | $0.93 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.520 | $1.06 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.73 | $0.559 | $0.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?Up | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.350 | $0.9 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | sell | 9.06 | $0.040 | $0.36 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.430 | $0.95 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.720 | $1.09 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.410 | $0.98 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.340 | $0.69 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.750 | $1.36 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.222 | $0.92 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.242 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.490 | $0.87 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.540 | $1.06 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.980 | $1.04 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.560 | $0.96 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.080 | $1.33 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.527 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.1 | $0.170 | $0.7 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.820 | $4.68 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.886 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.280 | $1.6 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 |