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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80.04K | $0.458 | $42.42K | +$5.75K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.351 | $474.16 | 8h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50.94K |
| $0.376 |
| $25.6K |
| +$6.46K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 25K | $0.929 | $23.38K | +$148.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 30K | $0.653 | $22.05K | +$2.46K |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 41.13K | $0.261 | $20.77K | +$10.05K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 57.9K | $0.268 | $20.56K | +$5.06K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 20K | $0.990 | $19.81K | +$12.38 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 20.71K | $0.877 | $18.32K | +$171.14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 17.5K | $0.833 | $14.96K | +$389.04 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 13K | $0.994 | $12.94K | +$21.03 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 11.57K | $0.996 | $11.53K | +$1.55 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 13.83K | $0.117 | $11.43K | +$9.81K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10K | $0.997 | $9.99K | +$13.2 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.01K | $0.989 | $6.96K | +$23.96 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5.94K | $0.934 | $5.61K | +$62.14 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 5.61K | $0.974 | $5.57K | +$103.53 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 5K | $0.988 | $4.95K | +$11.41 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 5K | $0.880 | $4.33K | -$75 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 3.5K | $0.754 | $3.44K | +$795.25 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 3.2K | $0.854 | $3.02K | +$288.12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.67K | $0.408 | $2.31K | +$405.97 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 3K | $0.560 | $1.97K | +$285 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.560 | $1.96K | +$284.99 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 17.66K | $0.300 | $1.85K | -$3.44K |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.910 | $1.84K | +$20 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.991 |
| $99.1 |
| 19h ago |
 Will Indiana Hoosiers Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?No | buy | 670.7 | $0.744 | $498.82 | 2d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.113 | $201.92 | 5d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.680 | $2.04K | 8d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?No | buy | 4.78K | $0.999 | $4.77K | 10d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.6K | $0.001 | $3.6 | 10d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 286.61 | $0.971 | $278.3 | 11d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 4.38K | $0.975 | $4.27K | 12d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | 12d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.982 | $98.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3K | $0.972 | $2.91K | 13d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 33.5 | $0.983 | $32.93 | 14d ago |
 Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays | sell | 460.95 | $0.730 | $336.49 | 16d ago |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays | sell | 500 | $0.630 | $315 | 16d ago |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays | sell | 500 | $0.630 | $315 | 16d ago |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 227.02 | $0.965 | $219.07 | 16d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 5K | $0.380 | $1.9K | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 742.03 | $0.361 | $267.89 | 19d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.710 | $1.42K | 20d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 426.31 | $0.983 | $419.06 | 21d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 385.16 | $0.980 | $377.46 | 22d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.88K | $0.990 | $14.73K | 26d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.998 | $199.59 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30K | $0.005 | $150 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.400 | $2K | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.830 | $2.49K | 28d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 18.06K | $0.926 | $16.72K | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 366.19 | $0.989 | $362.16 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.997 | $4.99K | 29d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2K | $0.926 | $1.85K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 393 | $0.982 | $385.93 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | buy | 173 | $0.585 | $101.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 822.99 | $0.460 | $378.58 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.830 | $2.49K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.983 | $983 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.840 | $1.68K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.490 | $147 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.021 | $21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 597.65 | $0.971 | $580.32 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 8.76K | $0.780 | $6.84K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 530.04 | $0.780 | $413.55 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.17K | $0.786 | $3.28K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.026 | $87.19 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 182.1 | $0.500 | $91.05 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100.01 | $0.500 | $50.01 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.77K | $0.002 | $21.54 | Jul 29, 2026 |