Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:26 PM UTC.
Analytics
thomascarolyn has made $27.38 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:26 PM UTC.
$26.46 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Jun 24, 2025 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25? | No | 21.59 | $0.840 | $21.31 | +$3.17 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.840 | $0.5 | 3d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 12:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:26 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 12:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $28.73 and losing ones cost $2.46 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.79 on “Spread: Eagles (-7.5)” (Titans); the largest loss, $2.46 on “Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 79 markets. Its open positions are worth $21.31 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 21 |
| $0.840 |
| $17.64 |
| 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?No | buy | 16.51 | $0.740 | $12.22 | 7d ago |
 Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Titans | buy | 17.31 | $0.550 | $9.52 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.999 | $9.77 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 11.81 | $0.999 | $11.8 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?No | buy | 24.13 | $0.995 | $24.01 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No | buy | 35.83 | $0.999 | $35.79 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No | buy | 47.49 | $0.997 | $47.35 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 12.42 | $0.999 | $12.41 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.998 | $8.44 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No | buy | 29.22 | $0.999 | $29.19 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?No | buy | 28.26 | $0.999 | $28.23 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 39.67 | $0.998 | $39.59 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 35.68 | $0.999 | $35.64 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 40.06 | $0.998 | $39.98 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?No | buy | 17.21 | $0.999 | $17.19 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.989 | $15.47 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No | buy | 11.4 | $0.999 | $11.39 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 17.43 | $0.994 | $17.33 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No | buy | 12.43 | $0.999 | $12.42 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 12.92 | $0.999 | $12.91 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in August?No | buy | 14.48 | $0.998 | $14.45 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by August 31?No | buy | 19.68 | $0.999 | $19.66 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.997 | $11.05 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.999 | $10.17 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.999 | $17.03 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Russia announces air truce by August 31?No | buy | 11.94 | $0.998 | $11.92 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 19.44 | $0.999 | $19.42 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?No | buy | 21.66 | $0.999 | $21.64 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $120 in July?No | buy | 24.75 | $0.998 | $24.7 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.996 | $21.46 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 2.46K | $0.998 | $2.45K | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 2.46K | $0.999 | $2.46K | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 105.92 | $0.999 | $105.81 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Zelenskyy impeached before July?No | buy | 104.86 | $0.999 | $104.76 | Jun 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lebron James retire before July?No | buy | 109.81 | $0.999 | $109.7 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | buy | 104.49 | $0.998 | $104.28 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 109.61 | $0.987 | $108.19 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 109 | $0.998 | $108.78 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | buy | 108.17 | $0.998 | $107.95 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 107.59 | $0.988 | $106.3 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?No | buy | 104.78 | $0.999 | $104.68 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Xi visit the US before July?No | buy | 102.9 | $0.999 | $102.8 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump visit Russia before July?No | buy | 105.72 | $0.998 | $105.51 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
| Solana all time high by June 30?No | buy | 106.24 | $0.997 | $105.92 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?No | buy | 105.46 | $0.999 | $105.35 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 103.82 | $0.998 | $103.61 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 104.86 | $0.998 | $104.65 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.998 | $103.2 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.