Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.77 | $0.194 | $5 | Sep 9, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 47.62 |
| $0.105 |
| $5 |
| Sep 6, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 74.15 | $0.040 | $3 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 334.44 | $0.009 | $3 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 94.38 | $0.032 | $3 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 34.26 | $0.292 | $10 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.078 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.096 | $5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |